Risk Aversion
Individuals, governments, banks and companies invest huge volumes of money in currencies and as a result the Forex market is very exposed to the way that we behave during times of economic crisis and economic success.
When things are going well, investors take risks and when things are going badly they tend to play it safe and take their money out of high-risk, high-interest currencies. This is called risk aversion.
One of the most devastating examples of risk aversion in the Forex market occurred during the recent financial crisis in 2008. Despite American banks being responsible for the worst of the crisis, investors made a run on the US Dollar, which is traditionally seen as a safe currency and pulled their money out of the riskier markets, such as the Australian Dollar. This caused the Australian economy to crash and so the financial crisis, which had started in the USA, started to spread throughout the world’s currencies.
It is possible to trade using risk aversion as a tactic, though it requires patience and careful monitoring of market analysis reports, fx guides and forex news. There are two different strategies when it comes to trading on risk aversion; one is to do nothing, in the belief that the market will return to normal, while the other is to make small trades in the larger currencies, all the while keeping an eye on the global situation and being ready to change tactics as soon as other investors start to take risks again.